Has this happened before?
An oft quoted phrase.
But, Man U 0-1 Leeds United. That was a big turned up for the books wasn’t it? Or was it?
Well you don’t need to wind back far to see the last time a similar thing happened. I looked at matches where the home team were priced between 1.25 to 1.30 for a home win. Curiously, where this involved an English team playing a foreign team, the English teams were very dominant. Focusing just on domestic football the last ‘shock’ actually only occurred less than a month ago with Wolves winning at Spurs, Spurs were 1.30 to win. But going back further it was actually quite tough to find a similar situation, the glaring exception being Manchester Utd vs Coventry in the league cup in 2007. Man U lost 0-2 at home. Memories are short, aren’t they? If you go back a little further to 2005 Man U drew 0-0 with lowly Exeter in the third round at home as well.
Out of the 33 matches I could easily find back to 2007, 2 ended up in victories for the away team. That works out to odds of 2/33 or 16.50 in digital odds for the away team. Leeds started the match at odds of, you guessed it, 16.50!!
Football often throws up odds results thanks to the fact that so few goals are scored on average. One goal can make a huge difference to a game. Therefore football is one of the sports where upsets can, and do occur, with quite a bit of frequency.
Category: Using Bet Angel
