US Masters

08/04/2010 | By More

Picking a winner in any major golf tournament is a very, very tricky task. There are only a few strokes between the top of the leader-board and being out of contention. Any body who has played golf will know that a few strokes difference is only a hook, slice or shank away.

Anybody who has been on my course recently should know the angle I will be taking on this event. But the great unknown here is how Woods will perform? This will complicate matters significantly. Typically Woods would have been at much shorter odds if this was a ‘normal’ tournament but with all this stuff going in his personal life he opened at around fives and has drifted to 7’s. If he gets off to a good start then I think the market will shorten him up quickly, but if he doesn’t then his odds will slowly drift to ‘Mickelson’ type odds. I think a lot will depend on how relaxed he is at Augusta and how the crowd take to him. I’ll be watching the first round to try and get a feel for that. As people know I’m likely to avoid the front of the field but there is bound to be a lot hinging on how Woods plays so whether you want to or not, you won’t be able to avoid how his odds affect the rest of the market. I was sort of hoping he wouldn’t play, but it will be interesting to see how things unfold. I feel the fact he has returned so soon shows you his true personality and intent, he wants to win.

I have included a graph for this years US masters. for how the odds moved on Woods in previous masters, please view the thread on the forum.

Tiger woods 2010 US Master before the start

Tiger woods 2010 US Master before the start

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I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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