I predict another draw

03/04/2011 | By More

A cursory glance at the Italian football today reveals two matches were the matched bet volume is 5-6 times greater than normal and draw odds much shorter than expected. I have posted the two matches in question on the forum. I backed Brescia to win against Bologna on Saturday after picking up on activity on that match. Brescia were 2-0 up inside ten minutes, so I traded out at very short odds.

It prompted me to see what happened to the other matches like these in the past and I have detailed the results that I noted. There are probably many more, but these are just the ones were I collected quality information on. I’ll do some more work on this in time to see what the long term prognosis is: –

24/05/2009 Draw odds 1.79 – Chievo 0 – 0 Bologna

20/03/2010 Draw odds 1.88 – Chievo 1 – 1 Catania

11/04/2010 Draw odds 1.62 – Bologna 2 – 3 Lazio

02/05/2010 Draw odds 1.96 – Cagliari 2 – 2 Udinese

09/05/2010 Draw odds 1.39 – Bologna 1 – 1 Catania

20/12/2011 Draw odds 1.42 – Albinoleffe 3 – 3 Piacenza

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Category: Football trading strategies

About the Author ()

I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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