How to play the play offs
I was asked for an opinion recently on the championship play offs. I tipped a Reading vs Swansea final with Reading likely to edge it. So far so good, as both Swansea and Reading are through, so how did I get it right?
It’s quite simple really, “Form” is the answer. When you look at play off success over the years then form stands out as the key determinate. Form teams do well in the play offs on average and teams that are on the slide at the end of the season tend to fluff it at this stage. My picks were based around the recent form of all the teams and Swansea and Reading were stand out candidates. Last year Cardiff were on better form but a late surge from Blackpool made them stand out candidates. It’s a pattern that repeats year after year and explains the oddity of teams how do not finish third but go on to get promoted.
I personally think play offs are a bit unfair. You play well all season only to suffer some injuries which mean you are not automatically promoted, then lose in a knock out competition. I would feel aggrieved at this. I really feel sorry for long suffering Cardiff fans, I am sure their time will come.
Category: Football trading strategies
