Champions league ratings
Nice result on the Barcelona match last night! Our top four goal ranks produced three over 2.5 goal matches and the bottom four three under 2.5 goal matches. I would have estimated four matches would be likely to reach >2.5 but there were only three. I would lean on the side of lots more goals than normal this evening and therefore overs are in-play and unders at risk this evening.
Because this evening’s matches should produce more goals I would raise my forecast to around 23/24. We were a bit light on goals last night.
I’d rank most to least goals as: –
Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Madrid
Man City vs. Napoli
Inter vs. Trabzonspor
Villarreal vs. B Munich
Ajax vs. Lyon
Benfica vs. Man Utd
FC Basel vs. Otelul Galati
Lille vs. CSKA Moscow
Both Manchunian matches deserve a bit of attention this evening and if either team carry their form forward from the premier league then their opponents will be in trouble. I suspect Man Utd will just be looking at progression at this point and will be less likely to really go for it so early on in the group stages. With confidence flowing I think Man Utd are a good price at 1.93 this morning despite a likely cautious approach. The less competitive matches look much less interesting.
Category: Football trading strategies
