2012 Masters day three
That all turned out pretty well in the end.
Woods slump on the second round help move me into a considerable profit. This isn’t because of any position on Woods, more the impact of Woods sliding from short odds to being out of contention; this shortens up the rest of the field. It needed something like this as McIlroy and Westwood are certainly in the frame and Mickelson also shaped up a challenge. That was netted off with some good moves from the middle of the starting field to much shorter odds, but it was Woods slump that make the market. At the highest level of sport most competitiors are very closely matched. Therefore, the edge you often find at this level isn’t in your hands, it’s in your head. This is why I was happy to indirectly oppose Woods.
One mistake I made is that I looked long and hard at Garcia, but didn’t back him. That would have added a nice sum to the potential. But as it is, I can’t moan at all. Not my best result, but pretty satisfactory, as my account was credited with a four figure profit early this morning.
From here I’m all out. Saturdays are very busy days so adding the Golf to that is not viable. I’ll ignore it for the afternoon and may dip in during the evening to spend some of my profit laying at short prices over the hardest parts of the course. The structure of the market changes a lot after the cut as well. One good or bad shot will move the market a lot and very often you see the odds move first before the radio or TV coverage can tell you why. So you need to adjust your outlook at this point.
Top movers to the cut (full details on the forum): –
Rory McIlroy – 8 to 4.4
Lee Westwood – 23 to 8
Phil Mickelson – 13.5 to 10.5
Bubba Watson – 55 to 14.5
Sergio Garcia – 75 to 18.5
Jason Dufner – 140 to 17.5
Louis Oosthuizen – 90 to 19.5
Fred Couples – 260 to 26
Matt Kuchar – 60 to 27
Nick Watney – 65 to 38
Miguel Angel Jimenez – 320 to 44
Paul Lawrie – 380 to 60
Category: Golf
