Sweden v England
Sweden’s defeat against Ukraine means a result here is essential and they will probably need a significant improvement. Lower ranked teams that have lost their previous match and are playing a side coming off a draw have lost 7/11 Euro group stage matches with 6/11 having -2.5 goals including all five second group games.
11 of Sweden’s 19 tournament matches since 2000 have had -2.5 goals while they’ve drawn six of their last eight group matches against higher ranked teams (5/8 -2.5 goals). England have had -2.5 goals in 15/19 opening two group games since 1990 including 9/11 against teams ranked 11-30 places below them.
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Category: Football trading strategies