Key turning points in a Tennis match
When trading you want to look for key moments to trade in and out. Sometimes these can be arbitrary, a goal up, a goal down, certain times. A set up, a break up etc. etc.
Today I saw a turning point in the Australian Open final that I hadn’t witnessed before and one that I had.
I’ve mentioned before about how players are keen to get opponents out of the zone where possible, but today this happened in an unusual manner. Having held his own and fortuitously won the first set, Andy Murray went into the second tie break having had the better of the second set. Half way through the tie break, down flutters a feather and distracts Murray just for a moment. It was like a scene out of Forrest Gump. After getting rid of the offending object Murray double faults, loses the second set tie break and never regains momentum. It turned out it was a very key moment in the match, but I didn’t spot it at the time. Definitely one for the notebook. It was interesting to note that the market got it spot on at the time.
The other key moment in the match was that key second game in the second set. Murray really had the wind behind him after the first set and served first in the second. His first service game he won to love and he really had Djokovic on the ropes on his following service game. Murray won eight straight points to put Djokovic on the back foot at 0-40. But he just couldn’t finish him off. It was a massive save for Djokovic. It wouldn’t be until 2-1 0-1 Djokovic till Murray would get another clear chance at a break and having failed again, he was then broken and the match was pretty much over. So an intriguing final, but nothing like last years titanic epic.
I’ve collected a ton of data on the final and an unbelievable amount during the entire tournament. I’ll post up some data on both as I wade through it, I’ll probably pop it in the forum on the relevant thread as it becomes available. Unlucky Andy, but well done on a great effort in the first grand slam of the year.
Category: Tennis, Trading strategies
