Sunday match previews
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Sunday Match Previews
Fulham v Aston Villa (Sun 13:30)
Fulham maintained their record of scoring in every home game this season on Wednesday. Unfortunately, two late goals consigned them to a ninth defeat in 11 home games. At the same time, Aston Villa were winning at Southampton despite having just 23% of the possession.
Villa have a remarkable record of having earned six more points on the road than at home since the start of last season. However, they failed to score at West Ham and Hull this season and may find they don’t get as many opportunities on the counter-attack against Fulham as they’d like. The Cottagers have lost only one of their six meetings with Villa since 2010/11 and they won 5/9 home games against bottom-half finishers last season. There were positive signs for Fulham in midweek and they look to have a great chance of getting a much needed win – we’d back them at 2.75.
Over-goals was always worth backing in Fulham’s home games under Martin Jol but with Rene Meulensteen now in charge, and Villa having failed to score in five of their last eight matches, there could be more value in under 2.5 goals. This has occurred in seven of the last eight meetings between the two teams, with the last four encounters seeing just four goals in total. Under 2.5 Goals can be backed at 1.9.
Arsenal v Everton (Sun 16:00)
Arsenal continued their impressive form with a comfortable win over Hull in midweek, but Everton trumped that performance with their first win at Old Trafford in 21 years. That followed a superb performance against Stoke last weekend and having lifted one hoodoo they must now try to end another; they’ve not won at Arsenal since January 1996. You have to go back to 1987 to find their second most recent away win against The Gunners, when they went on to win the league.
Arsenal have won 10 consecutive halves at home and while Everton have lost just once this season that did come in their only trip to a current top-eight side (although it’s slightly harsh to not credit them for their Old Trafford win here). It’ll be hard for Everton to repeat their midweek feat so soon while Arsenal should be well rested after two very easy wins and they look worth backing at 1.75.
However, we’d expect Everton to create chances given their quality and with both teams looking dangerous going forward there should be plenty of goals. Arsenal have conceded in 17 of their home games since the start of last season and, when they have, it has led to at least four goals on 12 occasions. Six of The Toffees 14 games under Roberto Martinez have had four or more goals and over 3.0 goals looks good value at 2.2.
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