Saturday Soccer stats
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Chelsea v Everton:
- Everton have scored in each of their last 9 matches against Chelsea
- Chelsea have recorded 7 2-1 wins in their last 21 home matches including 4 in their last 7 hosting top-half teams
- Everton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 11 matches
West Brom v Fulham
- West Brom have not won any of their last six matches against Fulham (W0-D3-L3)
- West Brom have drawn 12 of their 26 games this season – 3 more than any other team
- 6 of Fulham’s last 8 trips to bottom-six teams have been goalless at half-time
West Ham v Southampton
- West Ham have kept 4 consecutive clean sheets while Southampton are unbeaten in 6 matches
- Southampton have drawn 6 of their last 7 trips to middle-third teams
- All 7 of West Ham’s wins this season have come to nil, including 5 2-0 wins
Crystal Palace v Man Utd
- Man Utd have won 12 of their last 16 trips to bottom-six teams with 10 wins by either 1 or 2 goal margins
- Crystal Palace have picked up just 1 point from their 11 matches this season against teams currently in the top half whilst scoring only twice
- 7 of Palace’s 15 defeats this season have been 2-0
Liverpool v Swansea
- Liverpool’s last 9 home wins have all been by more than one goal and 6 have been despite conceding
- Swansea have conceded in 10 consecutive away matches
- Just 1 of Swansea’s 7 wins this season has come against a team above the current bottom six
Newcastle v Aston Villa
- Newcastle have never lost 5 consecutive home games in the Premier League
- Newcastle have conceded in 10/11 home matches while both teams have scored in 8/10 Villa trips to middle-third teams
- 10 of Newcastle’s last 12 home matches against bottom-half teams have had at least 3 goals with 3 2-1 wins in their last 7 such matches
Premier League: Norwich v Spurs (Sun, 16:00)
Spurs kept up the pressure on the top four with an easy win over Newcastle in their last game and they will look to maintain their impressive away form here. Spurs have taken 28 points from a possible 30 this season away to teams currently below the top six. Norwich, meanwhile, have won only one of their last 11 matches and are now just one point above the relegation zone.
Norwich’s best chance of success is probably to keep things tight and look to replicate Hull’s point against Spurs a few weeks ago. Their last six home matches have featured just seven goals and they were all level at half-time. Spurs have a superb second-half record but have often been slow starters and nine of their last 15 trips to bottom-half teams have been all-square after 45 minutes before a second-half record of W12-D3-L0. The half-time draw is an appealing price at 2.30 but we expect Spurs to win so the Draw/Spurs double on the half-time/full-time market looks a good.
‘Unders’ is the favourite in the 2.5 Goals market which is no surprise given Norwich’s record. In contrast, Spurs’ away matches have featured plenty of goals with seven of the last eight seeing at least three strikes. However, four of their six trips to the current bottom-half teams this season have had fewer than three goals as have 11 of Norwich’s 16 home games against top-half sides since the start of last season. As such Under 2.5 Goals looks a decent price.
With Emmanuel Adebayor rested for the midweek trip to Ukraine the in-form striker should be fresh for this game. He’s scored seven goals in his last five away matches in the league, failing to score only once and netting first on three occasions so he looks good value to continue his hot streak this weekend.
Category: Football trading strategies
