When to use form and when not
Each day I flick through the available sports on offer and have a quick look for anything interesting.
On the racing today something jumped out immediately, Battle group in the 16:00 at Kempton.
Battle group famously refused to race at the Grand National and caused a false start. They restarted, but it didn’t make it past the first fence. Today it is running over 1m4f at Kempton. One look at it’s form and it’s a miserable recent record, three refused to races and two pulled up in the last six outings.
Call me adventurous, but I think it could be a lay or at least a lay to back! The price is a little steep but it’s chances of a win must be much lower.
On the flip side when I visited Betfair’s web site this morning I was greeted with some interesting advice ‘Burnley only found themselves trailing at half-time in one match last season. The half-time draw is available to back at 2.62.’
That would be great if we were half way through the season, but last seasons form in a different division, isn’t going to count to much on the first game of this season. Especially with a new look Chelsea team. It’s too early to make any judgement on how a team plays just yet. I doubt the managers even know TBH.
So there you go, some ambiguous form and some rock sold form to work with.
Category: Trading strategies
