Category: Tennis
What are the best Tennis markets to trade?
There is no such thing as a perfect trade or one that is completely riskless. So the next best thing is to find the best place to be in a market adn when.
Volatility in Tennis
When you are looking to trade Tennis you are effectively selling volatility. Markets are generally priced efficiently before the start of a match, but trading is all about exploiting how a player goes from that point to closing out a match. That progression can …
Australian Open 2018
This week sees the first major sporting event of 2018 and the opening grand slam of the tennis calendar as the Australian Open gets underway.
Live scores at the Aussie Open
Some of you may remember, that last year for the first time Betfair where unable to provide the live scores via their API (which is where Bet Angel gets them from). Unfortunately, Betfair has confirmed they will not be providing them again this year. I’m not sure of the …
An Ace is worth more than a point
When you read that statement it looks a little strange. How can one point be worth more than another? But statistics seem to show that’s true. With Murray about to line up against a big server at Wimbledon so let’s look at the perfect serve.
Wimbledon
Wimbledon is the home of mighty servers, with alternate big servers booming the ball past their opponent. But what effect does it have? Some, it appears.
Over the last couple of years, I’ve been …
French Open Tennis – Roland Garros
Today see’s the start of the 4th Round of the Roland Garros and its certainly been an eventful first week to say the least.
On day one the women’s world number 1 Angelique Kerber was dumped out 6-2, 6-2 making her the only number one seed ever to be eliminated in the first round of the French Open – there has only ever been four number ones who have gone out in the first round across all Grand Slams.…
Trading Tennis in-clay – When it’s good to see Red
European clay court Tennis, Group Racing at Newmarket, the Grand National behind us; spring is definitely here!
We are now on the cusp of a lot of major sporting action. The Monte Carlo Masters Tennis is a signal to start dusting down things for the French Open. The European clay court season is upon us and it presents us with some decent opportunities.
Tennis – Why Red Clay can equal Green
Clay is an interesting surface for Tennis because of …
Trading Tennis at the Australian Open
January is when the Tennis season starts up again and it’s a great time to get some Tennis trading experience under your belt. With weaker markets elsewhere, the Australian Open is a great time to get going on Tennis.
If you want a quick browse of previous advice dispensed on Tennis, click here to search the blog for Tennis articles. But also view the playlist on betangel.tv. The forum is full of chatter from previous tournaments that should help …
Trading Betfair Tennis markets automatically
My (automated) Tennis trading journey
When I first looked to trade tennis with automation my initial mistake was trying to create a single automation file and apply it to all the day’s matches. I soon learned this was never going to work and instead started taking some time to use the wealth of stats and data available for tennis from a number of website’s and other sources to carefully select matches most suited to specific strategy/rule I was trying to …
US Open Tennis
How I learnt to trade Tennis
When I first started to trade Tennis, I needed a few things to be in place. One of those was an understanding of how odds move in Tennis match.
The reasoning was that if I knew that, I could pitch my opening and closing trades roughly where I wanted, where the market would move to. I could also start searching for ‘precursors’ to that key point in the match.
Also, with so many matches …
The thin line between individual skill in Tennis
If you have been active on Wimbledon these past two weeks you would have seen some great matches. But you should have also seen something else, maybe without realising it.
Often you see an outsider really battle away at a heavy odds on favourite, maybe even winning the first set, but despite this, their odds don’t seem to come in that much. Why is that?
What’s the point?
The first thing to note is there are a lot of points …
Can you predict 1.01 defeats in Tennis?
Surface problems aside, the main news from Wimbledon so far was the shock’ defeat of Novak Djokovic.
Of course things are very easy in hindsight. But that said, short priced players are easily opposed when trading, more on that in a second . The thing that is surprising in these cases is to see somebody who traded near 1.01 before the off losing. That’s rare, but certainly not impossible.
1.01 Losers in Tennis
I shuffled through one of my database …
Easy ways to automate your Tennis Trading
Next week see’s the start of Wimbledon the pinnacle event of the Tennis calendar.
And one of the best ways to trade the Tennis markets is with automation. If you have never used automation before there is probably no better sport to start with and with the year’s biggest tournament about to begin this makes it the perfect time to dip your toes in and give it a try.
Why automation works so well
There are a couple of reasons …
Free Tennis trading guide worth £19.99
Interested in Tennis trading? With the Australian open upon us, why not combine some knowledge with the best Tennis trading software around!
[If you are finding this via an outdated link this promotion was run in 2016 and is no longer available]
The offer
Order a copy of Bet Angel Professional (excluding one day access) and get a copy of Dan Weston’s – ‘Mastering Tennis trading’ completely free of charge. Click here for an overview of the book, we are …
Buzzfeed sticks the knife into Tennis integrity
Possibly the most comprehensive document(s) I have ever seen on match fixing emerged last night and are documented in detail on the BuzzFeed site. Called, ‘The Tennis Racket’, is has a provocative headline: –
Betting worth billions. Elite players. Violent threats. Covert messages with Sicilian gamblers. And suspicious matches at Wimbledon. Leaked files expose match-fixing evidence that tennis authorities have kept secret for years.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/heidiblake/the-tennis-racket#.cdBPOYv2b
It’s caused quite a stir, but relates to a period a little while ago. But …
Free Tennis trading guide worth £19.99
Interested in trading on Tennis? Why not combine some knowledge with the best Tennis trading software around!
[If you are finding this via an outdated link this promotion was run in 2015 and is no longer available]
The offer
Order a copy of Bet Angel Professional (excluding one day access) and get a copy of Dan Weston’s – ‘Mastering Tennis trading’ completely free of charge. Click here for an overview of the book, we are giving away the full version…
ATP World tour finals
The ATP World tour finals have already started, in case you hadn’t noticed, and tonight we were treated to a Djokovic vs Federer rematch. Today Murray vs Nadal.
I like this tournament. I’ve been a couple of times now and it’s such a different feel from the slightly stuffy and exclusive Wimbledon. It was great to hear that London will continue to host this series until at least 2018. It’s much more vibrant than Wimbledon and you WILL get …
The distorting impact of XM on Tennis
I was trying to think of a better headline, but that will have to do!
XM means ‘cross matching’ and while I was trading some of the activity in the pre-off markets this evening on the US Open Tennis men’s final I switched it on and off to have a look underneath the main market. Cross matching is the complicated, in most cases unnecessary, process that Betfair uses to offer bets on both sides of the market. On Tennis, being …
US Open Tennis – Scoreline statistics
US Open Tennis – The statistics behind the scorelines
Advice from Dan from tennisratings.co.uk .…
I thought I’d look at the US Open on a historical basis and look at the statistics behind the scorelines. An angle I wanted to look at for this blog post was laying players in-play when either a set up, or two sets up. As an introduction, the table below shows the percentages each correct scoreline occurred in Grand Slams since 2011:-
| Scoreline | 2011 |
US Open Tennis – Arm yourself to the teeth this year!
While the summer evening racing markets have finished, thanks to the US Open tennis there is still plenty to do in the evenings at the moment.
With Bet Angel you get the benefit of specialist Tennis trading tools, namely: –
- The unique Tennis modelling and profiling tool – Tennis trader
- Live scores on each match
- A handy watch list so you can look at all matches and scores all at once
- The ability to trade on live scores via a
Assessing ATP players in late games of sets
Something that is frequently discussed on social media is a player’s ability at the start of the set, or at the end of the set. Last week we looked at the ability of servers in this respect, but today I want to take the opportunity to look at strong and weak returners at the beginning or close of sets.
As mentioned last week, it is possible using point by point data to look at start and end of set statistics, …
Tennis trading primer
Just a quick video as we have had a lot of people asking how you trade Tennis. So we have produce just a short primer giving you some ideas and a short discussion on Tennis, we hope it’s useful.
Using stats to generate entry points in Tennis
Something that is frequently discussed on social media is a player’s ability at the start of the set, or at the end of the set. This tends to be an imperfect subjective judgement which may or may not have sound statistical merit, but typically this doesn’t concern the average Twitter user!
It is possible using point by point data to look at start and end of set statistics, and to work out both whether there are different dynamics during these …
Major new release of Bet Angel
It’s Wimbledon and just in time, we are delighted to release another new version of Bet Angel. This version builds on recent releases to expand the scope, scale and capacity of the Tennis live scores feature.
Key changes
Alongside some minor updates, the major component of this release is the ability to trade Tennis automatically from within Bet Angel’s Advanced automation tool. Let me explain and show you how!
Download the latest version (Version 1.41)
First you need to download …
Tennis trading – Trading the Tiebreak
Many Thanks to Dan Weston who was the guest poster for this article, visit Dan’s excellent Tennis ratings site for lots of useful Tennis stats.
One area of trading which many Tennis traders seem unsure of, and some that I’ve spoken to even steer clear of completely, is tiebreak trading.
Tiebreaks are one of the most volatile parts of a Tennis match and due to this, it is possible for traders to have the ability to win and lose …
ATP In-Game Tennis Trading
Many Thanks to Dan Weston who was the guest poster for this article, visit Dan’s excellent Tennis ratings site for lots of useful Tennis stats.
Several weeks ago, we discussed point by point trading in the WTA, primarily looking at laying the player a break up and taking money out during a service game. As mentioned before, this allows more risk-averse traders to clear some or all liability at various in-game scorelines, and these were grouped into two brackets:-…
French Open Tennis – When it’s good to see red!
We are currently embedded into the first week of the French Open. It’s a tournament that is played on distinctive red clay, and if you want to bet or trade on this seriously, then it’s important to understand the significance of the surface at this venue.
Research by the ATP showed that the average length of a point on the grass of Wimbledon was just 2.7 seconds versus 8.2 seconds on Clay. To understand why this is the case, …
In-game Tennis Trading
One of the beauties of Tennis trading is that there are many possible approaches which can all be successful, with some traders preferring to be exposed to risk, with others keener to take a more risk averse approach.
When laying a server, or the player a break up, we have previously discussed trading out if and when the break occurs. However for the purpose of this article, I want to look at taking money out during a service game.
To …
Laying the Set One Winner
It doesn’t need much explaining that in a best of three set Tennis match, players need to win two sets to win, and once they have won the first set, they are 50% of the way towards the number of sets they need to claim to win the match.
Due to this, a player’s price will be significantly shorter than starting price when they win the first set, which is a lay entry point that many traders like.
Personally I …
Tennis – Dominant Sets in ATP Masters Events
A popular form of trading is laying the player a break up – I’ve written a great deal about it before, and the positive aspects of this type of trade is that it’s easily quantifiable (using projected hold and break lead/deficit loss/recovery statistics) and that risk is much more limited than taking a position when the set is on serve.
The worst result for this type of trade is when the player you have opposed turns a single break lead …
The best and worst players from winning positions in the ATP
Further to last week’s article which looked at the application of a blanket strategy, and the usage of WTA stats to illustrate why this is a bad idea, I thought I’d move onto some more detailed applications of statistics in the ATP, which is something I’ve been looking at in great detail lately.
An objective way to categorise front runners has been my major focus, with a particular plan of trying to work out which players are lucrative to …
Tennis Trading – Why a blanket strategy is usually unsuccessful
Frequently I get asked whether a given blanket Tennis trading strategy is a good idea, and almost always my answer is ‘it depends’. This probably frustrates the person posing the question, but it’s a genuine answer – it really does depend on the given situation, and the two players participating in the match.
The simple (and obvious) reason why this is the case is because not all players are created equally. Some players are good at serving, others’ strengths lie …
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