Category: Using Bet Angel
Soderling vs Nadal – The ninth game
What’s the significance of the ninth game?
In a competitive final you could expect both players to try and play out of their skin. But, you could also expect that both would try do avoid doing anything stupid in the first set. It’s important to get off to a good start, but it’s equally important not to blow it early on. So a game of cat and mouse, probing your opponent and holding serve, is a quite likely occurance in …
Early start
Had to drop my daughter off to a Girl guiding camp this morning. I looped around, rejoined the M25 and headed up to Epsom for a ‘quick’ meeting. Silly idea really, but I had been invited to the Derby but obviously I need to be on this side of the screen today. I felt an effort to say thanks and acknowledge the offer was due. Traffic was, inevitably, a mare despite getting there early this morning, it was not helped …
Oaks
If you would have asked me what the Oaks were ten years ago, I would have talked to you about what the Victorians planted en masse on the green in the next village on from where I live. Now, my first thought turns to Epsom. How things have changed in ten years.
It was the Oaks that was Betfair’s first market ten years ago, but it was on the 11th June that year, not the 4th. So Betfair are just …
Tantalising finale
With the impressive Soderling brushing aside Federer in the French Open, we are now set up for a tantalising finale. Will we see a Soderling vs Nadal final? With Soderling having produced a shock last year by knocking out Nadal it looks a tempting prospect.
Nadal is only 1.40’s to win the entire tournament and that looks a little short to me, even given his next match which he should complete easily. I haven’t seen much of Nadal this tournament …
Just do it!
It’s not often I’ll get excited by an advert / commericial but the lastest epic by Nike really captures the spirit of the world cup and it’s affect around the world and on common culture. I think it’s a masterpeice, that’s worth watching!
View the video by clicking here.
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Manic monday
Seven race cards with generally average fodder on display, good luck if you are having a go. My advise if you are, is to try and pick up on clear opportunities. With so many races on clashing it is inevitable that some markets will be rubbish, but hopefully some will get just inside the required sweet spot. With so many on, just ignore the rubbish ones and try and catch some quality opportunities. Good luck!
[EDIT] – Just been checking …
Bet Angel on the iPad
Today saw the launch of the iPad so following my rule of ‘If it’s a gadget, new or takes two batteries’ I just had to get one. The first thing I did was put Bet Angel on it to have a play, you can see the video by clicking on this link. Bet Angel isn’t a native application on the iPad, but it is possible to get it running on it if you use the server edition of Bet …
World cup warm up shocker
You could be forgiven, given the English papers this morning, that I was referring to England’s performance against Mexico. But no, this was Portugal’s electric preparation for the World Cup against the Cape Verde islands. Fielding a full strength squad they thrashed Cape Verde 0-0. You could still back a win for Portugal at 9’s in th dying moments of the match, not sure I have seen those sorts of odds before so late in a draw. Match report follows: …
Chillin
There is a very busy period ahead of us now for a couple of months. So yesterday I did something I enjoy a lot, just chillin. I don’t live very far from Great Windsor park and in the Surrey section of the park there are some wonderful gardens that you can meander around. I visited the Savill garden as it’s wonderful at this time of year.
I was so chilled that when the kids went to get an ice cream, …
Champions league final
Nothing unusual in that this match has been priced for a low scoring, tight contest. Inter are being priced for a slight edge and I think the market is right. Unless Bayern get their tactics very right I think Inter are set up well to win.
Curiously the match is exhibiting exactly the same characteristics as the Portsmouth vs AC Milan match in 2008. A similar match recently was Sporting Lisbon vs Porto. My stats are showing slightly more goals …
An easy way to maintain discipline
There are no end of horror stories out there of people that fail to exit a position before the off and then they let that trade turn into a gamble. If you struggle with this or simply want to automate some aspects of your trading you may want to use a spreadsheet in conjunction with Bet Angel to help you achieve this.
Using Bet Angel you can link to a spreadsheet and automate a variety of elements of your trading …
Betfair takes a swipe at French legislation
The European union is often termed the “common market“, a collection of inter-trading free trade economies where goods and services are free to . Unfortunately a lot of the market has nothing in common and there are quite a few trade imbalances in the markets. Until such time as taxation, legislation and spending are centralised I will always be sceptical as to whether the Euro and the trading bloc can continue without significant tensions. But that’s another story!…
Well done England
Has the feel good spirit started for English sport? The English cricketers comprehensively won the 20/20 Cricket world cup on Sunday, can the English football team respond by wining their world cup? I doubt it, but it’s nice to dream, even if that is all it becomes. Well done to the Cricketers though, not only does it take skill to win something but a little psychological mettle and some luck. The English win was a definite and deserved victory though …
How much!
It was interesting to read this article today which details just how much money each premiership club collects each year.
It’s amazing to think that any club could go into administration with so much money being dished out each year. Couple this with parachute payments and it seems that the premier league is clearly set to pull away from the old football league in terms of development. There is an interesting graphic here that clearly illustrates the amount of the …
Monaco grand prix
I don’t do much on the Formula one unless a clear cut opportunity exists but here is a post from last year that should help you on the Monaco grand prix. Click here to view it.
I was thinking of going to the Monaco grand prix this year but expensive is not the word to use to describe the cost to do it in style. Maybe next year!
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FA Cup Final
A curious one this year. Chelsea are on for the double and will surely try their best to get it. Pompey have performed miracles to get the final and wont want to lose it. Chelsea are at a very short price so I’d be nervous mopping up at that price.
Curiously we have profiled this match and it has come out very similar to the Chelsea vs Stoke match on the 25/4/10. Of course Chelsea won this 7-0! All similar …
Sticky wicket
Not a reference to the English cricket team, but well done lads on getting to the final. I must admit to not knowing enough about Cricket to trade it effectively, but I may have a look in on the 20/20 final. It has all the characteristics to be a decent trading market, so I may have a stab. Uncertainty is great for trading and the final promises plenty.
Sometimes when I am trading I feel I am batting on a …
Europa league final
Who would put it past Fulham to end the season in glory tonight? Shakhtar Donetsk, Juventus and Hamburg have all been beaten by Fulham en route to the final, with just Atletico Madrid now standing in their way.
The match itself is priced for a low scoring affair with a slight edge to Athletico. The market is pricing in a paltry 2.40 goals, which means the draw should be a likely result for 90mins. I predict if you played this …
Would you back the draw at 1.30?
If a football match was near the end, perhaps ten or fifteen minutes or so, 1.28 may represent value. But before the match has started, no way! Mathematically speaking it’s highly improbable for the draw to be priced at 80% certainty in a fair match. However these strange odds seem to occur often at the end of the Italian football season. Not all of them play out as the odds intend but it’s certainly very strange to keep seeing such …
April
OK I am a bit late summarising, but it’s been a busy start to May. April was a surprise for me as it turned out to be my fifth best month ever and I pulled in a very high strike rate, which was unexpected. So far this year I am running at double my total of a couple of years ago, there are many reasons for this. However, on a like for like basis, I think I had the wind …
No overall majority
Never was such a word so true. The UK election this morning brought out a true hung parliament where only a coalition amongst truly minor parties can bring a majority government. Not an ideal scenario for a country facing some tough policy decisions. We could have the prospect of a minority of votes electing the government, I think that wouldn’t be acceptable to the populace. It’s going to be an interesting few days.
Anyhow, one of the most active markets …
The battle for fourth place
While most eyes were firmly focused on Man City vs Spurs last night, a remarkable battle was taking place 200 miles further north for the same place in the Scottish Premiership. Unlike the English battle, which ensured ‘arry team has broken into the previously exclusive top four, the battle in Scotland was for Europa cup place and infinity more exciting and in fact totally remarkable.
UK users can watch the highlights here: –
https://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/scot_prem/8658858.stm
The match ended 6-6 and that …
A bit fishy…
Went through my normal routine this morning. The last bit is to nip into the Garden and top up the bird feeders and feed the fish. Big problem this morning was that there were no fish in the pond, all 23 were gone!
At first I thought it was a Heron or something, but it seemed unusual that it could gobble all 23 so efficiently. The resident frogs were also missing, so any Heron probably wouldn’t have been able to …
Two horse race
So the premiership has narrowed to a two horse race to the line. Chelsea meet Liverpool and Wigan, while Man Utd mean Sunderland and Stoke. On the face of it Chelsea’s 1 point advantage looks tight but when I ran through all the possible combinations and, on average, the one point advantage should be enough to win it. Of course it really hinges on the result at Liverpool, so that really is the championship decider. That match is going to …
1000 Guineas
Rather bizarrely I managed to get just over 1000 Guineas in profit on the 2000 Guineas. Does this mean I will get 2000 on the 1000? I doubt it, but it was an excellent day. I just happened to have one of those days where everything just seemed to slot into place. I managed a clean sweep on all 44 races I traded today. It’s so nice to do that, but I think you have to be realistic and accept …
21 Shillings
Or a Guinea, 2000 of them were up for grabs in 1809 when the 2000 Guinea’s was first run at Newmarket. The race should now be called the 380,000 Guinea’s, but that doesn’t have the same ring to it does it?
It will always have a special place in my heart as it was the first race I traded while lounging by a swimming pool! Early on in my trading career I was on my travels, but still wanted to …
Well done Fulham
Dead and buried a few seasons ago and now in the Europa league final, an excellent campaign and a deserved final place. They really turned over the odds consistantly and provided a lot of entertainment and profit along the way. Well done!
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Europa league
Really looking forward to the Europe league this evening. There are strong cases for a goal coming from any of the four teams this evening. So a strategy oriented around this or NOT 0-0 seem sensible this evening. Come later in the game, if there are no goals, neither side will have anything to lose with a strong push in the last few minutes. It will be an interesting night.
Last night I was spot on about the Barca – …
Funny moments in sport
You often get lots of funny things happen in sport, not often before a match has even started though. I couldn’t stop laughing when I watched this: –
https://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/other_sports/snooker/8649851.stm
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