Recent Articles
Betfair back, but not SP
Betfair returned to normal about 1/2 hour after it went offline. Apparently their host lost connectivity which was the cause of the downtime and not any underlying technical issues.
For me, I’m annoyed, as I had an SP bet waiting to be matched before the official off time. Betfair are supposed to manually reconcile these bets when there are problems like this. On this occasion however, it was just cancelled. My log in Bet Angel shows clearly that the bet …
Betfair down
Just after the off at the 14:30 at Uttoxeter Betfair look like they have had a serious crash. We haven’t had any news from Betfair at the moment as to what has happened, but the whole site including the API has gone.
If you still want to trade you can use Betdaq if you wish. You can download our sister product Betdaq Angel from the URL, https://www.betdaqangel.com. This is pretty much the same as Bet Angel but works on …
Just remarkable
Just watched a horse throw its jockey, break through the barriers from the all weather to the National Hunt course, run the entire length of that course, smash through the barriers on it’s return, continue bolting to the start and guess what? It STILL started a 5f race! If finished 5th out of 7 runners.
I can’t believe they still let this horse run. It’s remarkable that they didn’t really care that much for the horses welfare. I know the …
1234 & 9-1
Amazing result from Spurs on Sunday. Not often you get to see 10 goals in a match, especially nine of the them in the second half. That said, Spurs did get a 6-4 against Reading on 29/12/2007. In the same season we also had Portsmouth vs Reading on the 29/9/07, which produced a 7-4 scoreline. I have actually watched a 10 goal match. It was Southampton vs Coventry, which Southampton won 8-2. Some time ago though, that was back in …
So close for Kauto
Well, what a race that was. I really though Kauto Star had lost it, but it was always going to be a bob of the head that got it ultimately. The market got the photo finish wrong for once, but I must admit I also thought Kauto Star had lost it.
Benefit of form and horse related knowledge made this a good trade opportunity today. This morning I phoned around a couple of horse racing types and talked to them …
Liverpool vs Man City
I’ve had quite a few emails on this match so here are my prices.
Liverpool – 2.02
Man City – 4.30
Draw – 3.60
As you can see the market has it pretty much spot on, maybe very minor value on Man City. I know my prices are within 0.10 accuracy over the course of the season so I can’t see any value. Both teams probably won’t want to lose this one so perhaps a tentative match is likely?
A …
Massive match fixing probe launched
German prosecutors have launched a probe into around 200 football matches. They suspect a number of matches, including champions league and Europa league matches, have been targeted by criminals who bribe players and officials to fix games. The criminals made money by betting on the results. Matches under investigation were played in Germany, Belgium, Switzerland, Croatia, Slovenia, Turkey, Hungary, Bosnia-Hercegovina and Austria.
More detail here, German coverage here.
Get me out of here!
With the UK racing markets bumping along the bottom at the moment I rejoined one of the few specials markets that I will trade, “I’m a celebrity, get me out of here”.
Those who have been on my course will know why I joined this market and it didn’t disappoint again this year, though the volume was a bit low. With a full green on the market I messed around last night during the coverage and was surprised at home …
How to turn over a 1.60 shot
I knew Southampton would lose yesterday, or at least not win. How? Well there were two key overriding factors in yesterdays match.
First, I had bothered to make the trek to the south coast to watch the match. Because of the unsocial hours of the sports markets I don’t get the chance to watch much sport so when there is a team nearby that plays when I can watch, I’ll often nip along. Unfortunately for Southampton every time I watch …
Surprise exit for Murray?
I was suprised to see people claim that Andy Murray’s exit from the Paris masters was a surprise. Despite such a late night last night, Murray was in action again today and looking very tired. I thought his price was pretty short but it got very short indeed when he won the first set. From there Murray really ran out of steam and I thought it was odd that the market hadn’t priced this in. Just goes to show that …
Will I make a profit this week?
Yes and no I guess?
Yes I will make a profit, but technically I will right up against the wall, why?
Last week with the Melbourne Cup, Breeders Cup, the UK racing and the champions league it was a busy week. This week there isn’t a great deal on the card. On Wednesday the premium charge came out for last week and it was a big one. This week I may struggle to get in a day what I managed …
Real Copa Crash
Real Madrid crashed out of the Copa Del Rey last night. As though that wasn’t bad enough for Real Fans it was to lowly AD Alcorcon. Priced at 1.39 to win the first leg away Real Madrid promptly got thrashed 4-0. But that was OK because they had 90 minutes of the second leg to turn it around. Last night they stumbled to a late 1-0 win and stumbled out of the cup.
Real Madrid play Zurich at home in …
Football value this evening
A quick glance on this evenings football has through up Leeds as a clear value candidate. Rather than duplicate the information here, please have a quick read of the posting on the forum. The thing that stands out on this match is that it is a clear value candidate. Very often things are a lot more marginal, but here there is clear room.
Bear in mind that value only appears over time, so you need to stake with that …
At the adverts..
Hmm, a distinctly poor week ahead by the look of it and today we are ‘treated’ to a day on ‘At the adverts’, err.. ‘At the races’ I mean. At least we can use the red button to watch the build up a bit better, but we are never over the moon when faced with a winter card all on this channel.
On a close look the card doesn’t look terrible but with small fields and long races I doubt …
No fireworks
Don’t get me wrong, there were plenty of fireworks around yesterday. We are very lucky to live just across from a field where a big annual display takes place, very useful. But at the Breeders Cup last night it felt like I’d only been given a couple of sparklers in the back garden.
For some reason while this meeting is a decent betting heat it never really seems to catch fire from a trading perspective. I did just fine last …
Breeders cup
There are not many races I tend to do in the US, but the Breeders Cup is one of them. I’ve often looked at key races in the US but there just doesn’t seem to be enough interest in them. Even the Kentucky Derby barely registers on the trading Richter scale from a volume perspective.
However, the Breeders Cup is different and is worth a look. One of the problems you will have is that the key races tend to …
Horse genome unlocked
Link to the full article below. So this begs the question, could we be on the verge of extra nighttime racing when scientists produce horses that glow in the dark?
https://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8345578.stm
Some interesting charts
In these very dull UK markets excitement is hard to come by, but here are some interesting charts for you.
First a weird one from Fairyhouse yesterday. It’s fairly obvious that the Irish racing is quite likely to be more volatile than the UK racing, this race in particular was always going to see the odds move around a fair bit. But I didn’t expect to see what happened here.
This next chart was certainly more readable. Tons of money …
October
Well October turned out to be a bit of a surprise for me. I had expected it to be a downer, but in fact I ended up with a record month including a record day. Never have I been so pleased to be wrong!
That’s only half the story really. The UK racing markets have, as expected, have started to go into their annual hibernation and opportunities are harder to come by. But I worked hard during the summer on …
Shocking winner in Melbourne cup
Well that went well! I hadn’t expected anything given my failure in previous years to get a decent sum from this race. So it was a pleasant surprise to do well on this race, just a shame you only see this sort of liquidity on one Australian race a year. Even then, just about everything went right this morning. So I definitely feel lucky to have got such a flattering result.
Congratulations to those that joined me in the early …
All night support for the Melbourne cup
It’s the race that stops the nation tonight in Australia and already, 8 hours before the race is underway, £750k has been matched on the market. I’ve already put through a few trades and hope more will follow before the start of the race at 4am.
To ensure Bet Angel users can have a trouble free night we will be have a support team in place to help assist through the night. Please remember that you must have money in …
Poland to ban on-line gambling
Poland looks set to follow the lead of neighbouring Russia and the Ukraine in implementing anti-gambling legislation which would ban all forms of gambling outside of casinos within the country, as well as prohibiting internet gambling and advertising of gambling services and introducing higher gaming taxes. Various details emerging today.
https://www.cardplayer.com/poker-news/7842-polish-prime-minister-moves-to-ban-online-poker
Late nights – Not just for Halloween
I’ll be up late this weekend, but not just for the odd party here and there. This weekend sees the start of the Melbourne Cup carnival. I’ve never got this right in prior years so I am trying my best to do a decent job this year.
The races at Flemington park start this Saturday at midnight GMT and the big race, the race that stops a nation, is on Tuesday at 4am. If your mad like me, you will …
Bet Angel – Server edition
We have been quietly working away in the background recently to produce a new service that should help all Betfair traders. The server edition is hosted on a very high speed internet connection giving you a very high performance internet connection from any internet enabled device, anywhere in the world.
We have spent some time finding a suitable partner that was able to work with us to produce the package, price and performance required for our customers. For full details …
Big backer back
I’m sure you have seen this from time to time, but it appears a big backer is back in the market. Southwell was subject to some unusual moves yesterday but it was at Catterick that the unusual activity stuck out like a sore thumb. Despite studying the moves yesterday, I couldn’t really see a pattern. You can see in the chart below the two big volumes spikes that occurred when the price was smashed in.
Whether you trade the favourite …
The one in blue is going to win
It’s not very often you can say this, but you could yesterday when it was assured. The 15:00 at Kempton was a four runner field and each of the jockeys had blue silks on! OK there were some distinguishing marks between them, but I can think of a better construction for people trying to trade in-running.
In the end the possibility of fun and games in running came true. Tactic traded as low as 1.37, Copperbeach 1.40, Ezdiyaad 2.89 and …
Money programme this evening
The money programme on BBC2 this evening is about Warren Buffett. If you miss this it will probably be on BBC iPlayer.
As you may know I am a big fan of Mr Buffett and was introduced into his world by buying a book in an airport while on a trip to the US. Learning about his methodology, not only about investing but also about life in general, had a hugely positive impact on me. While I’m not an advocate …
Swine flu hits Blackburn team
See full article here: –
https://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/teams/b/blackburn_rovers/8325606.stm
The impact on the market has been immediate, with the price on Blackburn drifting throughout the day. I guess this will continue unless the match is called off. I’m not particularly keen on making money on somebodies misfortune so I will duck out on this one.
While most Football markets are pretty stable things like, injuries, weather and illness can have a profound affect on the pre-match market. I’ve seen lots of similar things …
Bottom of the barrel
The clocks are about to change, racing gets earlier in the day and the quality drops off. The flat turf season is just about expended and the jumps and all weather racing are popping up with increasing regularity. Its officially the start of the tough period!
OK, lets not get all gloomy, there are plenty of opportunities, just less of them and fewer quality ones. Also it’s all relative. I am sure anybody starting out, would be happy with what …
Sure fire winner
Good ole Curley leisure. Whenever I see that hat with red stripes I know we are in for a fun time. Sometimes unpredictable, but always fun. These horses have the potential to throw up some really good trades. Yesterday the horse ‘Sure fire’ that was the big gamble for the Curley yard. Its chance of winning the race improved a ‘theoretical’ 20%+ over the afternoon session. You could have either backed this horses or laid the original favourite for a …
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