Tag: golf
Trading the US Masters
I like the US Masters. This is mainly because it’s the only major played on the same course each year. This means you can collect a ton of stats on how the course plays and form your strategies around that. It gives me a good guide as to when to trade in and out of a position. You can do this on most courses, but because the Masters is at the same location every year it is much more predictable.…
Trading the Open Golf
The British Open is different from other majors in that it is played on rotation schedule across a number of ‘links’ courses in the UK. Links courses are traditionally near the sea, are near or on dunes, have an uneven surface and a sandy soil. This is in stark contrast to a lot of ‘modern’ courses which are often set in parkland or woods and carefully manicured.
How ‘links’ golf differs
Links golf is very different from traditional golf in …
US PGA Golf
Before we talk specifically about trading the US Open, why not check out our Golf trading videos at https://www.betangel.tv
I enjoy my annual foray into the US Open Golf because it reminds me of my very first activity on betting exchanges way back in June 2000. Aside from a small flutter on some financial markets, it was the Golf that launched my betting exchange career. Back then Tiger Woods was being offered at 4.00 for the championship and Colin Montgomerie …
Trading the Ryder Cup
Once every two years, the sporting world turns its attention to what is turning into a classic sporting Rivalry, the Ryder Cup.
Many years ago it didn’t have anything like the profile it does now. Post war it was a chance of US golfers to show how much better they were than UK players. Then the rules changed to make their opponents UK and Ireland, but that was still dominated by the US. Then in 1985 when it became the …
US PGA Golf
The ‘fourth major’ starts today in the US and should provide some opportunities. That said, I temper my enthusiasm as the Golf season wears on as history has shown that I do worse at each major as the year progresses. I don’t know exactly why that is, but I suspect as form lines get stronger, opportunities weaken.
The US PGA at first tee last year turned over £5m.
Some of the stats I’ve used here have come from the excellent …
Trading the Open Golf
The British Open is different from other majors in that it is played on rotation schedule across a number of ‘links’ courses in the UK. Links courses are traditionally near the sea, are near or on dunes, have an uneven surface and a sandy soil. This is in stark contrast to a lot of ‘modern’ courses which are often set in parkland or woods and carefully manicured.
Weather and links golf
Links golf is very different from traditional golf in …
US Masters – Trading Golf markets
I like the US Masters, mainly because it’s the only major played on the same course each year. This means you can collect a ton of stats on how the course plays. This gives me a good guide as to when to trade in and out of a position. You can do this on most courses, but because the Masters is at the same location every year it is much more predictable.
If you are a golf player, when …
Dustin Johnson is most likely a lay
First off here are the positive movers from yesterday’s play at the US PGA golf championship, the “fourth” major. Returns from trading £10 level stakes.
Jason Day – 14 to 7 : £10.00
Rory McIlroy – 13.5 to 10.5 : £2.86
Dustin Johnson – 17.5 to 5.7 : £20.70
Justin Rose – 22 to 14.5 : £5.17
Matt Kuchar – 70 to 25 : £18.00
Martin Kaymer – 85 to 65 : £3.08
Paul Casey – 100 to 80 : …
Liquidity at the Open Golf
The Open is almost upon us and while I realise it’s not a burning question on everybody’s mind, I thought I’d help you find the best time to take a position the market before it starts.
One of the problems with Golf is that early start in the morning. It will be around 06:30 for the Open. That prevents most people getting up early to stick a position on. That more or less includes me. I wasn’t sure though if …
U.S. Open golf
That was a really interesting first day at the U.S. Open golf at Chambers Bay in Washington.
There were lots of complaints by commentators, golfers and traders about the state of the course. It certainly was “challenging”. I figured that a brand-new course may be difficult to trade and that’s exactly what happened. I’ve made a bit of a Horlicks of it and I think I’ll almost certainly face a loss on this tournament. It seems I never really do …
TPC Sawgrass – The cut
Some decent results from this championship this week. Jordan Spieth didn’t carry his Masters form into Sawgrass and has been cut. Returns to £10 stakes at the cut: –
Start to cut – Rory McIlroy – 9 to 7.6 – £1.84
Start to cut – Kevin Na – 100 to 9 – £101.11
Start to cut – Rickie Fowler – 60 to 10.5 – £47.14
Start to cut – Jim Furyk – 27 to 22 – £2.27
Start to cut …
Trading the US Masters Golf
I like the US Masters, mainly because it’s the only major played on the same course each year. This means you can collect a ton of stats on how the course plays. This gives me a good guide as to when to trade in and out of a position. You can do this on most courses, but because the Masters is at the same location every year it is much more predictable.
If you are a golf player, when …
Why Tiger isn’t roaring anymore
You must have noticed the news this morning that Tiger Woods is taking an indefinite break from Golf to rebuild his game. He had better hurry as he is now 39 and as in other sports age is an important factor in Golf.
Typically you have to look at a sport along two lines to determine where a player is in there career. One is age, as this is defining characteristic of strength and agility. The other experience, this tells …
Trading the Ryder cup
Once every two years the sporting world turns its attention to what is turning into a classic sporting Rivalry, the Ryder Cup.
Many years ago it didn’t have anything like the profile it does now. Post war it was a chance of US golfers to show how much better they were than UK players. Then the rules changed to make their opponents UK and Ireland but that was still dominated by the US. Then in 1985 when it became the …
US PGA Day one
As predicted Rory got off to a steady start and is only one behind the leaders at Valhalla. But the surprise of the day came from Lee Westwood. If past performance is anything to go by then Westwood will not see this through. I’ve forgotten how many times he has been in contention early on for his first major only for it to slip away. He’s the modern Montgomerie.
Another surprise was the unexpected withdrawal of Matt Kuchar and Jason …
Valhalla beckons, will Rory roar?
Some of the stats I’ve used here have come from the excellent Golf Stats website.
The golfing world’s attention now swings, excuse the pun, to Kentucky and to two golfers in particular.
I like competitive golf tournaments where the winner is uncertain but currently, despite Rory McIlroy’s comments, we do appear to be entering a new era in golf. Tiger Woods dominated for a number of years and each tournament would start with him as a clear leader. Thanks …
Open Golf – Day two
Two clear leaders at the end of day one. McIlroy’s second round collapse is due to start at 14:27 today!
I’ve posted a list of movers on the forum.
There can be a really complex correlation between tee times and the effect on players who have yet to step onto the course, but this near.y always presents an opportunity. It’s much safer to trade somebody who isn’t playing or who has finished, than somebody that just sent the ball …
Open Golf
Curiously, Golf was one of the first markets I bet on Betfair way back in June 2000. But I quickly moved onto other sports before I returned with a vengeance a few years later.
The British Open is different from other majors in that it is played on rotation schedule across a number of ‘links’ courses in the UK. Links courses are traditionally near the sea, are near or on dunes, have an uneven surface and a sandy soil. This …
US Open Golf – Interesting set up
An interesting set up seems to be on the cards for the US Open golf this week.
All majors tend to see tough course set ups, but the weather looks set to play a big part this week. Which is perfect for Golf traders. Tee times and existing scores could make this very tradable depending on how and when the weather arrives. But the current forecasts appear to point for a period of disruption throughout the week.
Check out the …
Augusta, the cut
This has turned out to be a good Masters and a decent start to the season. I’m on target to get my best ever result on a Golf tournament.
Positive movers to the cut, to £10 stakes
Start to cut – Bubba Watson – 30 to 3 – £90 : High to cut – £256.67
Start to cut – Adam Scott – 13 to 6 – £11.67 : High to cut – £28.33
Start to cut – Jordan Spieth – …
Trading Golf markets on Betfair
If you want detailed Golf stats check out this site which I have been using to dissect Golf tournaments in more detail.
My first ever bet on Betfair back in June 2000 was actually on Golf, curiously. But back then it wasn’t a trading strategy that made me place that bet. Years later, Golf is now a regular part of my trading mix and the US Masters is my first chance of the year to really go for it.
I’ve …
Time to make a mess of the Garden – The US Masters
If you want more Golf stats check out this site which I have been using to dissect Golf tournaments in more detail.
We are at the first major of the year. I’m already active in the Masters market trying to establish a position before the first player tees off.
I like the US masters, because it’s the only major played on the same course each year. This means you can collect a ton of stats on how the course plays. …
US PGA Golf – The cut & schadenfreude
Full list of movers available on the forum, best return to a £10 stake, back to lay, was £466.19 on Robert Garrigus. He started at odds of 1000 and is now down to 85 after trading as low as 21 when battling for a share of the lead. Even at his cut price of 85 you would have returned £107.65.
For two tournaments in a row I have been too pessimistic, I need to find my positive thinking self …
US PGA end of day one
I have posted a full list of positive and negative movers to £10 stakes on the forum.
A fairly normal day as far as the market was concerned, but the weather did play a hand and that wasn’t expected.
It was ‘nice’ to see Woods slip out of favouritism fairly quickly and that gave me hope that I will get something decent out of the tournament. At the end of the day one I’m up £258 on the tournament, …
Can an Englishman win the US PGA?
If they can they are going to have to perform exceptionally well!
I had a nose at the last 55 championships and there is an ever so slight bias to the American players. Of the 55 championships I looked at, 42 winners were American. We also had three Australian wins, two South African, two Fijian (Vijay Singh of course) but also a South Korean, German, Irish and N.Ireland in there. Just no English. The dominance spills over to top ten …
Open Golf – What happens to the leaders?
You know me, I can’t look at a sport without trying to understand the structure behind it. So I’ve been looking at how various Open courses play and the dynamics of leader on different rounds. I’ve gone back to 1957 to be thorough.
First thing to note is that the average winning score at Muirfield is six under, there’s your target! But that hides a wide range of winning values. The lowest was par and the best 13 under, we …
Open Golf stats
Fair weather greets us for the Open this year, that’s unusual! But this may make the course a little less random this year.
Therefore, from a trading perspective, I’m less inclined to find a big priced winner this year. Links golf on a difficult course can be notoriously difficult, but when the weather is sweet and the wind calm, skill comes more to the forefront.
Winning a major requires a bit of luck however and also requires a very different
US Open Golf day one
Weather did have an effect on the day but not as dramatic as I may have hoped for, conditions where generally quite good. The ground staff have done an excellent job it seems. Still trying not to laugh at the ‘flags’ though!
Woods got off to an indifferent start, but the top of the leaderboard took advantage of that to establish a lead. The front of the book generally slipped, mainly thanks to Woods. But no real contenders came from …
US Open Golf at Merion – Nice set up
There are four hours left to the official start of the US Open but whether they start on time or finish a full session today very much depends on what happens with the appalling weather at Merion.
You often see the British Open throwing up some challenging conditions, but I’m not sure I have seen much worse than those at Merion so far this week. Merion received six inches of rain between last Friday and Monday and the forecast indicates …
Spot the ‘greensider’ competition
Nipped up the road to Wentworth last Sunday for the BMW PGA Championships.
I reckon you have your next golf star laid out in front of you in the form of Matteo Manassero. Only 20, he is playing beyond his years already and I reckon he could have an impact in a major sooner rather than later. He has four tour wins now and he is already being backed in for both Open championships. One to watch.
I went …
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