Tag: us open
US PGA Golf
Before we talk specifically about trading the US Open, why not check out our Golf trading videos at https://www.betangel.tv
I enjoy my annual foray into the US Open Golf because it reminds me of my very first activity on betting exchanges way back in June 2000. Aside from a small flutter on some financial markets, it was the Golf that launched my betting exchange career. Back then Tiger Woods was being offered at 4.00 for the championship and Colin Montgomerie …
US Open Tennis
How I learnt to trade Tennis
When I first started to trade Tennis, I needed a few things to be in place. One of those was an understanding of how odds move in Tennis match.
The reasoning was that if I knew that, I could pitch my opening and closing trades roughly where I wanted, where the market would move to. I could also start searching for ‘precursors’ to that key point in the match.
Also, with so many matches …
Manic Monday
It’s that day of the year that you either love or hate. The August bank holiday in the UK brings a whole bunch of racing, all on the same day. Then as we drift into the late afternoon, the US Open tennis gets underway. Not exactly a relaxing Bank Holiday!
Today there will be 483 runners over 51 races. This may seem like heaven for some, but it’s a nightmare for others. Quite a few races will attract little liquidity, …
The distorting impact of XM on Tennis
I was trying to think of a better headline, but that will have to do!
XM means ‘cross matching’ and while I was trading some of the activity in the pre-off markets this evening on the US Open Tennis men’s final I switched it on and off to have a look underneath the main market. Cross matching is the complicated, in most cases unnecessary, process that Betfair uses to offer bets on both sides of the market. On Tennis, being …
US Open Tennis – Scoreline statistics
US Open Tennis – The statistics behind the scorelines
Advice from Dan from tennisratings.co.uk .…
I thought I’d look at the US Open on a historical basis and look at the statistics behind the scorelines. An angle I wanted to look at for this blog post was laying players in-play when either a set up, or two sets up. As an introduction, the table below shows the percentages each correct scoreline occurred in Grand Slams since 2011:-
| Scoreline | 2011 |
US Open Tennis – Arm yourself to the teeth this year!
While the summer evening racing markets have finished, thanks to the US Open tennis there is still plenty to do in the evenings at the moment.
With Bet Angel you get the benefit of specialist Tennis trading tools, namely: –
- The unique Tennis modelling and profiling tool – Tennis trader
- Live scores on each match
- A handy watch list so you can look at all matches and scores all at once
- The ability to trade on live scores via a
U.S. Open golf
That was a really interesting first day at the U.S. Open golf at Chambers Bay in Washington.
There were lots of complaints by commentators, golfers and traders about the state of the course. It certainly was “challenging”. I figured that a brand-new course may be difficult to trade and that’s exactly what happened. I’ve made a bit of a Horlicks of it and I think I’ll almost certainly face a loss on this tournament. It seems I never really do …
US Open Tennis – Trading short priced favourites
I was chatting with a few fellow traders on Skype during day three of the US Open this week and we commented that there seems to be a lot of surprise results in the WTA tournament, and in particular that both the ‘big name’ players appeared to be very short for starting prices in Grand Slams, and that they were losing the first set much more than they should be – allowing some profitable lay to back trades.
[Editor – …
US Open Tennis – Scoreline statistics
A short into to a regular new feature
For some time I’ve been analysing various aspects of a number of key sports, but one thing that is the enemy of that is time, I don’t have any! So I’ve taken to surrounding myself with people who do and who are specialist in those areas I can’t devote enough time to. Bet Angel customer Dan has a neat website, Tennis Ratings and his work was right up my street. It’s …
US Open Golf – Interesting set up
An interesting set up seems to be on the cards for the US Open golf this week.
All majors tend to see tough course set ups, but the weather looks set to play a big part this week. Which is perfect for Golf traders. Tee times and existing scores could make this very tradable depending on how and when the weather arrives. But the current forecasts appear to point for a period of disruption throughout the week.
Check out the …
The market can be bizzare sometimes
We were treated to a spectacular turn of events last night at the US Open Tennis.
By a coincidence, I have been carefully studying the way the market behaves before the off at the US Open this year. More or less it’s flat as a pancake, but there are subtle bits of information contained in the pre-off pricing. I’ve been more interested in how this changes over the rounds.
In the latter stages of the tournament as the amount pre-off …
Some US Open tennis detail
I meant to post this earlier in the week, but other matters have over taken me, but I hope this gives you a hint at some of the metrics and variation at this tournament.
The surface at the US Open has been Decoturf since 1978. This is faster and has a lower bounce than the other Hard court slam, the Australian open. Because of this, many serve-and-volley players have done well at the US Open.
I looked back over 13 …
US Open Golf day one
Weather did have an effect on the day but not as dramatic as I may have hoped for, conditions where generally quite good. The ground staff have done an excellent job it seems. Still trying not to laugh at the ‘flags’ though!
Woods got off to an indifferent start, but the top of the leaderboard took advantage of that to establish a lead. The front of the book generally slipped, mainly thanks to Woods. But no real contenders came from …
US Open Golf at Merion – Nice set up
There are four hours left to the official start of the US Open but whether they start on time or finish a full session today very much depends on what happens with the appalling weather at Merion.
You often see the British Open throwing up some challenging conditions, but I’m not sure I have seen much worse than those at Merion so far this week. Merion received six inches of rain between last Friday and Monday and the forecast indicates …
US Open tennis trading – The final in numbers
Just when you think sport in the UK couldn’t reach any higher it does. A slightly belated look at the final.
A fantastic and well deserved win for Murray. It’s a huge achievement and long overdue for UK tennis. You sensed with his Gold Medal victory that he could pull this off but it was hell of a battle to finally do it. I am sure I wasn’t the only one muttering at Djokovic for putting up such a fight …
Wind assisted Tennis trade
Here is a neat insight into something that happens that you don’t realise the significance of at the time.
Last November I went to the World ATP finals in London, I watched Berdych vs Tsonga. I was sat opposite the service line, a useful spot to watch a match when you are interested in some of the finer detail. The thing they caught my eye was how high Berdych threw the ball before he served. I took some photo’s of …
Tennis trading – Faking it
Great match last night between Tipsarevic and Ferrer, probably one of the best of the tournament for trading. I was getting a bit tired though near the end. Two of three kids are back at school and it’s early mornings again!
Ferrer went a set up only to find himself two sets to one down, only to turn it around and win on a tie break in the fifth. This match is a great illustration of how some matches are …
Trading tennis – Some stats on efficient pricing
Caroline Wozniakci crashed out of the US Open last night after starting at odds of 1.10, or a 91% chance of winning. I am the only one thinking that perhaps McIlroy’s should be banned from seeing Caroline at major tournaments?!?!
This is being heralded as a ‘shock exit’. But how much of a shock is it? I looked at all the results from the first round of action at Flushing meadows and it reveals a wonderful thing about the market. …
US Open tennis
What an intruiging set up we have for the mens tournament this year.
Djokovic isn’t invincible this year, Federer is bouncing on a slow decline, Nadal is out and Murray just defeated his nearest competitors to win a Gold Medal. Murray also likes this surface as well. It’s a tantilising set up.
The top three make up 85% of the market so anybody on Djokovic’s side of the draw could stand a chance of getting into the later stages. If …
15th Major for Woods?
Tiger Woods got of to a steady start yesterday on the first day of the US Open in his quest for a 15th major. The market has been shortening Woods for tournaments recently and responded by pulling in his price from 9’s to 3.95. Surprise leader is Micheal Thomson who has come in from 690 to 30’s after posting a four under on the first round, don’t you just love golf! Conditions were described as ‘testing’ and this has caused …
Awesome match
At last, a real classic match to talk about at the US Open. Djokovic through to the final after defeating Federer, again, in the semi final from two match points down. A great trading match as well, with some clear cut entry and exit points.
Final day of a busy week
Well done to Rory McIlroy who continued to rip through the US Open. Unfortunately this scuppered my trade which needs a competitive field to work. At 1.40ish this leaves only one possible strategy, to back or lay McIlroy. I reckon most people will lay McIlroy given his blow up in the US Masters. It’s a clear fact however, that the error most people make is to take past trends and extrapolate them into the future. Rather than go on gut …
Royal Ascot / Open Golf Thursday
Another good day in the bag for Royal Ascot, but I left it late today. I didn’t get a real blockbuster race till near the end of the card. I had to work much harder than yesterday and I took my foot of Betdaq, as working harder meant I couldn’t keep focus on two exchanges effectively. I did broaden my activity out on Betdaq though to other races and they worked well. So after Ascot I’m going to continue my …
US Open golf
I love the majors as they very often throw up some excellent opportunties. So while things are very busy at the moment, I will be taking time out today to open up with some positions on the US open.
The Blue Course at Congressional is longer than when previous majors were held there and the par has been reduced to 71. That is almost certaintly going to make the scoring much more competitive and the scores lower. Should be interesting.…
Well done Nadal
Well done to Rafa Nadal who completed a career grand slam this morning, UK time, at the US Open. He looked good value for the win, though I only stayed up till 11pm to watch it, but at that point the rain stopped play. I looked at the recording and spreadsheet data this morning for the part I missed. It didn’t appear to restart till 1am this morning.
It’s been a good trading tournament and I took forward my Wimbledon …
Lucky unluckiness
Was really looking forward to watching the US open final Tennis on Sunday when………….. boom! All the power goes in the house.
I think SSE have done a bad job on the electrics around here as once a year the same thing happens. I knew what would be coming next, a few hours later a van would arrive dig up the road and replace the underground cabling. After chasing for a few hours I got a positive answer that this …
Trading Tennis
The US open has provided some excellent trading opportunities so far and there are probably many more to come as we reach the more competitive stages of the tournament. Tonight the Wawrinka v Youzhny match looks particularly interesting, especially with the way Wawrinka has been playing.
If you get the right set up, trading a service game is a particularly good strategy. With Tennis Trader you will also know what chance the server has of winning the game and your …
Just goes to show
It aint over till the fat lady sings as they say. Trading the Murray v Wawrinka match well this evening and managed to lay some off some of the profit on Murray at very short odds, looking for a Wawrinka fight back. I got one and Murray really let his head drop when broken twice in the third set. He really looked on his way out of the third set and possibly the match. Murray called on the trainer during …
Fun in the sun
It’s hot in New York at the moment and that’s thrown up some decent markets in the US Open. Nobody seems sacred in the heat and several contenders are already out, but Murray put in a good performance.
I’ve traded the US Open a lot more this year, mainly thanks to being able to ultilise Tennis Trader. For some time I’ve wanted to trade Tennis more often, so it was an important tool to have before I could trade …
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